Bitcoin + Government Shutdowns in Q4 =?

Just For Fun.

Government shuts down in Q4, Bitcoin moves. Simple as that. Let’s check the past:

2013 Shutdown (Oct 1)

• BTC was $133. 64 days later-> $1,156. That’s a +768% move in just over two months.

2018 Shutdown (Dec 22)

• BTC was $4,025. 186 days later -> $13,880. That’s about a +245% move straight out of the bear market.

Now it’s Q4 2025. Day one, October 1st the US government shuts down again.

Coincidence? Maybe. But both 2013 and 2018 shutdowns lined up right before major Bitcoin shifts. One ended in a parabolic top, the other sparked a recovery kickoff. Either way, both delivered triple digit gains.

That’s why these dates stick out. History does repeat often in Bitcoin, not always in the same direction, but often enough to pay attention. And while past performance never guarantees future results, ignoring such a strong historical catalyst feels reckless for anyone serious about this market.

So what’s next? Another cycle top, or the beginning of something new? Nobody knows. But Q4 2025 just got a lot more interesting.

Hope for the best, prepare for the worst, and always manage your risk.